Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 132.037221 145.046918 158.322012 172.854449 188.288927 204.166072 221.706488
2025-06-01 110.109510 129.562111 150.324623 174.017538 200.188493 228.100221 260.004639
2025-06-08 94.197927 118.199986 144.896950 176.502289 212.606032 252.283269 298.901114
2025-06-15 84.253917 112.039001 144.093834 183.258146 229.268216 281.080305 343.301704
2025-06-22 74.300630 104.537968 140.661132 186.107589 240.869870 303.884317 381.011120
2025-06-29 65.093482 96.809022 135.998640 186.680266 249.192120 322.538181 413.836223
2025-07-06 57.992123 90.900149 132.861698 188.502733 258.569565 342.190002 447.797979
2025-07-13 53.640937 88.083619 133.222542 194.366965 272.711911 367.531769 488.706665
2025-07-20 48.995421 84.343194 131.955643 197.811825 283.616231 388.856907 524.850454
2025-07-27 45.796349 82.281662 132.645439 203.594335 297.377538 413.718661 565.472479
2025-08-03 42.330426 79.467786 132.019618 207.410802 308.485480 435.260484 602.120546
2025-08-10 35.986360 71.680519 123.882195 200.564213 305.246258 438.385453 615.608069
2025-08-17 31.253402 65.993659 118.445822 197.237637 306.621465 447.524814 637.008199
2025-08-24 27.838143 62.089517 115.345555 196.973835 311.996618 461.828308 665.113977
2025-08-31 25.305004 59.400635 113.865282 198.875382 320.258553 479.934522 698.257642
2025-09-07 24.147373 58.996384 115.835723 205.782071 335.492911 507.371897 743.724477
2025-09-14 22.221980 56.992021 115.133310 208.643817 345.060332 527.353617 779.674583
2025-09-21 20.012644 54.199501 112.960913 209.145760 351.210099 542.755773 809.721929
2025-09-28 18.281463 52.123520 111.797807 211.055844 359.301371 560.783092 843.324047
2025-10-05 17.467991 51.796038 113.501457 217.363989 373.758313 587.553675 888.695677
2025-10-12 16.284536 50.563698 113.569020 221.069116 384.445009 609.249642 927.476931
2025-10-19 15.592406 50.296633 115.254297 227.304730 398.858978 636.145734 973.364901
2025-10-26 14.630694 49.324768 115.627685 231.419111 410.172548 658.848975 1013.796352